Ukraine makes the case for ending fossil fuels | Will Bunch Newsletter

March is finally here, and if you search hard enough you can find the first green shoots of spring — except for one. The Phillies should be four games into their 2022 spring training schedule down in Florida, but instead they are locked out in a labor dispute that arguably makes less sense than Russia invading Ukraine. MLB is accomplishing the once impossible: Making me not care about baseball.

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You probably didn’t see it — not with the understandable 24/7 coverage of Russia’s barbaric assault on Ukraine — but there was some bombshell news Monday about the world’s slower-motion apocalypse: climate change.

The world’s top experts convened by the United Nations to study the effects of greenhouse-gas emissions by humans — the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC — said that the dreaded effects such as deadly droughts and floods and rapidly rising sea levels are already here and likely to become worse than earlier predicted. The UN secretary general António Guterres put it bluntly when he said “people and the planet are getting clobbered by climate change.”

On the very same day, here in Pennsylvania, a GOP lawmaker unveiled a plan that would have a significant impact on carbon emissions. It would make climate change worse. The bill introduced Monday in Harrisburg by Republican state Rep. Seth Grove of York County would spur increased natural gas drilling in the Keystone State as well as the development of new pipelines. This legislation could have been called the Bonanza For Big Gas Lobbyists Act, but that’s not the political spin on fossil fuels in this harsh winter of 2022.

No, Grove’s bill is named the End Russian Aggression Act, even if it’s not exactly clear how banning Pennsylvania from joining the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, or RGGI — a compact of Eastern U.S. states hoping to speed the transition from dirty fuels like coal to clean energy — would stop the advance of Vladimir Putin’s tanks.

Grove’s nakedly political bill likely won’t become law — not this year, with Democratic governor Tom Wolf in power — but it does represent a pendulum swing. Republicans and oil-and-gas interests who had been on their back heels after seasons of deadly wildfires and storms now see an opening in Ukraine’s deadly conflict. Russia’s status as a leading oil-and-gas producer means the war brings higher gasoline prices, at least in the short run, and also has Europe scrambling for alternative sources of natural gas to stay warm.

Seizing on the immediate crisis while ignoring the much bigger one lurking down the road, Republicans see an opportunity to not only rough up President Biden, a climate realist, heading into November’s midterms. They’re also using the crisis advocate for their donors’ pet projects like the Keystone XL pipeline — killed, for now, by the White House because of its climate impact — or opening up more drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.

It should be pointed out that this makes absolutely no sense.

For nearly a century, humans have been killing other humans for the buried treasure of black gold — from Baku to Baghdad. Dictators like Putin or Saudi Arabia’s murderous monarchs have used their control of the oil spigot to extort other nations and bend them to their will. In the present crisis, Putin’s leverage on the West would amount to a hill of beans if Europe had started earlier and more aggressively to move away from fossil fuels. Thus, building infrastructure that would lock us into oil and gas for another generation seems the height of madness.

I touched base Monday with Pennsylvania’s top climate scientist —Michael E. Mann, director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State. He agreed with that assessment, telling me that “the Ukraine crisis is a perfect example of the dangers of our reliance on fossil fuel energy and the urgency of transitioning rapidly toward clean energy.”

The problem is that in the present, world leaders like Biden have to deal with the decades of bad decisions — for example, Germany racing to decommission its nuclear plants after the 2011 Fukushima disaster, before clean alternatives could replace the lost electricity — which means the West is managing the Ukraine crisis in a world still heavily dependent on fossil fuels. That means that short-term measures to prevent an economic crash or the freezing of Europe — tapping into government oil reserves, or even a holiday on gasoline taxes while the conflict is raging — make sense.

What makes no sense at all is giving into right-wing bullying aimed at locking in long-term projects such as permanent pipelines that pretend that science like Monday’s IPCC report doesn’t even exist. In fact, I’m wondering what would be dumber — watching cities like New Orleans or Miami sink into oblivion because we didn’t listen to the world’s experts, or dealing with the next madman with a giant army funded by windfall oil profits threatening to use his economic clout to launch World War IV in the year 2035?

Is the U.S. serious about ending Russian aggression, or generally making the world safe for democracy? Then we should take the dollars we planned to throw at Big Oil and Gas for another pipeline, and speed the development of clean energy like wind and solar that won’t need to be shipped across national boundaries. That’s what Germany announced on Tuesday — a renewed push for 100% renewable energy by 2035. That’s smart — so that when the next Hitler or Putin rises up with the idea of terrorizing civilization, he’ll be tilting at windmills.

Question: Does this shake the GOP back to reality? — Via @FaganKara on Twitter

Answer: This, of course, refers to the war in Ukraine. The man-crush displayed by some of the right’s biggest names — most notably Donald Trump and TV’s Tucker Carlson — for the strongman antics of Vladimir Putin now looks ridiculous as the world rallies behind Ukraine. The quick answer to whether it’s enough to change the GOP depends on what you mean by “reality.” We’ve seen a lot of GOPers like Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson scramble to re-adopt a kind of Cold War, anti-Moscow mentality, but much of the party’s new unreality is that President Biden — who’s done yeoman’s work in building an alliance of the world’s democracies — is somehow looking “weak.” I’m worried now the new GOP will push hard for riskier U.S. ventures into the conflict, risking World War III to score political points going into the midterm election.

You’ve surely heard about folks saying the quiet part out loud. But perhaps never before in the history of media has the formerly quiet part been screamed more loudly than in the way that some journalists covering the bloodshed in Ukraine have seen an added layer of tragedy in the blue-eyed whiteness of this particular war’s victims. “This isn’t a place, with all due respect, like Iraq or Afghanistan, that has seen conflict raging for decades,” CBS’ Charlie D’Agata said from Kyiv. “You know, this is a relatively civilized, relatively European — I have to choose those words carefully, too — city where you wouldn’t expect that or hope that it’s going to happen.” D’Agata later apologized, yet those words and sentiments were echoed on nearly a half-dozen outlets, including a Ukrainian lawyer who told the BBC the war is “very emotional for me because I see European people with blue eyes and blond hair ... being killed every day.”

» READ MORE: Do some speak more kindly about war in Ukraine because the victims are white? | The Grammarian

The outpouring of world support for the Ukrainian cause has been something to see, and yet it’s more than reasonable to ask why there weren’t similar rallies for the victims of decades of conflict that have raged across the Middle East, Africa, or parts of Asia where the civilian casualties were Black and brown. The world now universally condemning Vladimir Putin as a monster was mostly quiet when Russian bombers were pummeling hospitals and killing children in Syria’s Aleppo province in the 2010s. Likewise, a lot of folks swooning (rightfully) over the courage of citizens in Moscow or St. Petersburg protesting their own government weren’t as generous toward Americans who marched against the U.S. “shock and awe” bombing of Iraq in 2003, believed to have killed more than 7,000 civilians in just two months. In some ways, the fighting in Ukraine — partly because of the intense focus on a war in Europe — feels like a test for humanity. I don’t think we can pass it until we agree that the barbarity of cruise missiles knows no skin color.