Sizing up the Sixers’ competition in the tightly packed Eastern Conference
Entering Monday, the 33-24 Sixers were one game back of the fourth-place Knicks … and only 1½ games ahead of the eighth-place Magic.
BOSTON — The 76ers’ daunting stretch coming out of the All-Star break — with consecutive games against the four teams ahead of them in the Eastern Conference standings — peaks Tuesday with a road matchup against a Boston Celtics team that boasts the NBA’s best record at 45-12.
Coach Nick Nurse still called his Sixers a work in progress after practice Monday, with reigning MVP Joel Embiid still sidelined and multiple players either acclimating after joining the roster following the trade deadline (Buddy Hield, Kyle Lowry, Cameron Payne) or reintegrating after recovering from injury (Nico Batum, De’Anthony Melton). The Sixers are 4-11 since Jan. 22 and are running short on time to reinvent themselves and jell, with 25 regular-season games remaining entering Tuesday, including a looming road-heavy March.
That makes this an appropriate spot for a check-in on the standings, where the 33-24 Sixers are in fifth place as part of a bunched-up middle. Entering Tuesday, they were 1½ games back of the fourth-place New York Knicks … and also 1½ games ahead of the eighth-place Orlando Magic, who would face the seventh-place Indiana Pacers in the play-in if the season ended today. Additionally, the Sixers only have solid head-to-head tiebreaker positioning over the Magic (2-0 series lead, with one matchup remaining) and Cavaliers (2-1 series lead, with one matchup remaining).
“We can all root against the other teams as much as we want on the off nights, or on any night,” Nurse said. “But I don’t know if that’s going to matter that much. It’s going to fall where it’s going to fall. It’s always under your control, as long as you can pick off some wins and stay in there.”
Here is a breakdown of the teams in front of and behind the Sixers, which offers a glimpse at the playoff possibilities.
(All records and statistics are entering Tuesday’s games.)
No. 2 seed: Cleveland Cavaliers
Record: 37-19
Lead third-place Bucks by: One game
Strength of schedule: 12th
Record vs. Sixers: 1-2 (final meeting: March 29 in Cleveland)
Next five games: Tuesday vs. Dallas, Wednesday at Chicago, Friday at Detroit, Sunday vs. New York, March 5 vs. Boston
Two of the Sixers’ four wins during this downturn are against the Cavaliers, perhaps suggesting Cleveland still has much to prove to reach contender status. Consecutive games against the Knicks and Celtics will provide another litmus test.
Cleveland, though, admirably began its surge while playing without starters Darius Garland and Evan Mobley. Donovan Mitchell is a fringe MVP candidate. And the Cavaliers are built on their defense, ranking second in the league with 110.4 points allowed per 100 possessions.
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No. 3 seed: Milwaukee Bucks
Record: 37-21
Lead fourth-place Knicks by: Two games
Strength of schedule: Sixth
Record vs. Sixers: 2-0 (final meeting: March 14 in Milwaukee)
Next five games: Tuesday vs. Charlotte, Thursday at Charlotte, Friday at Chicago, March 4 vs. L.A. Clippers, March 6 at Golden State
After the hubbub over Doc Rivers’ return to Philly, the Bucks immediately pounced on the Sixers and cruised to a nationally televised Sunday afternoon win.
Perhaps Milwaukee is turning a corner after starting 3-7 under Rivers, with a victory at the Western Conference-leading Minnesota Timberwolves preceding its celebratory visit to the Wells Fargo Center. The Bucks next get the opportunity to feast on the Hornets (twice) and Bulls, before a four-game West Coast trip that includes both Los Angeles teams, the Warriors, and the Kings (who are all fighting for their own playoff positioning).
After he took over for the fired Adrian Griffin about a month ago, Rivers’ initial plan clearly was to sacrifice offensive firepower to shore up what had been a hapless perimeter defense. Will the Bucks reach more of a balance between both ends of the floor during the stretch run? They have the toughest on-paper remaining schedule of this group, and Khris Middleton’s health status is a wild card.
No. 4 seed: New York Knicks
Record: 35-23
Lead fifth-place Sixers by: 1 ½ games
Strength of schedule: 14th
Record vs. Sixers: 2-0 (final meetings: March 10 and 12 in New York)
Next five games: Tuesday vs. New Orleans, Thursday vs. Golden State, Sunday at Cleveland, March 5 vs. Atlanta, March 8 vs. Orlando
According to Basketball Reference, this remains the most likely first-round matchup for the Sixers. And there are several parallels between the two teams. The Knicks are also trying to weather injuries to standouts Julius Randle and OG Anunoby — a late no-call on a loose ball that led that to the game-winning bucket in New York’s 113-111 squeaker against lowly Detroit, which officials acknowledged after the game was a mistake, was the latest example — and made a notable trade-deadline acquisition in Bojan Bogdanovic.
New York is one of three teams ranked in the top 10 in offensive and defensive efficiency — joining the Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder — which signifies coach Tom Thibodeau’s style and Jalen Brunson’s All-Star leap.
No. 6 seed: Miami Heat
Record: 32-25
Trail fifth-place Sixers by: One game
Lead seventh-place Indiana Pacers by: Percentage points
Strength of schedule: 29th
Record vs. Sixers: 2-0 (remaining meetings: March 18 in Philly, April 4 in Miami)
Next five games: Tuesday at Portland, Thursday at Denver, Saturday vs. Utah, March 5 vs. Detroit, March 7 at Dallas
The Heat always seem to figure things out, as evidenced by last season’s stunning run from the play-in to the Finals.
Perhaps that is occurring now. Miami has won six out of its last seven, with its only loss coming by four points to Boston in a game that Heat star Jimmy Butler missed for personal reasons. Butler has played in only 38 games, and is always most focused on being in top form for the playoffs.
No. 7 seed: Indiana Pacers
Record: 33-26
Lead eighth-place Magic by: Half-game
Strength of schedule: 11th
Record vs. Sixers: 2-1 (regular-season series over)
Next five games: Wednesday vs. New Orleans, Friday at New Orleans, Sunday at San Antonio, March 5 at Dallas, March 7 vs. Minnesota
The Pacers and Magic are the most inexperienced teams in this playoff race, making them fascinating to track during this final push.
All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton spearheads a high-powered offense that ranks second in the league in efficiency (120.6 points per 100 possessions) — and would not be fun for any opponent to face in a one-game play-in matchup, or in a best-of-seven first-round series.
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No. 8 seed: Orlando Magic
Record: 32-26
Strength of schedule: 30th
Record vs. Sixers: 0-2 (final meeting: April 12 in Philly)
Next five games: Tuesday vs. Brooklyn, Thursday vs. Utah, Sunday vs. Detroit, March 5 at Charlotte, March 6 at Washington
Following a rough January, the Magic are 8-3 in their last 11 games. And they have the opportunity to rack up more wins — and move up in the standings — thanks to the easiest remaining on-paper strength of schedule in the league.
Though Paolo Banchero became a first-time All-Star while anchoring the Magic’s exciting young core, a defense that ranks fifth in the NBA in efficiency (112.2 points allowed per 100 possessions) is the foundation.