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Lionel Messi, Inter Miami favored in Tuesday night Leagues Cup match vs. Union in Chester

The Union may be a lot higher in the MLS standings, but Messi joining Miami has changed the math.

Union had coach Jim Curtin thanks fans after beating DC United in penalty kicks at the Leagues Cup on Aug. 3.
Union had coach Jim Curtin thanks fans after beating DC United in penalty kicks at the Leagues Cup on Aug. 3.Read moreSTEVEN M. FALK / Staff Photographer / STEVEN M. FALK / Staff Photograp

The day is here. Lionel Messi, the greatest soccer player of this generation, maybe of all generations, will play in Chester tonight for Inter Miami against the Union.

The occasion: a Leagues Cup semifinal, with a trip to Saturday’s final on the line.

Weeks ago, this matchup would have had little fanfare. The Union, one of the top teams in the MLS, would be huge favorites over Miami, which probably wouldn’t have made it this deep into the knockout stage of the Leagues Cup.

With Messi, Sergio Busquets, and Jordi Alba now on Miami, a lot has changed for a team that’s at the bottom of the MLS’s Eastern Conference table.

The Union are slight underdogs at home.

Here’s a look at some betting odds for Tuesday night’s Union vs. Inter Miami match.

» READ MORE: Lionel Messi’s visit to Philly is a measuring stick for the Union beyond just the game

Odds are courtesy of FanDuel, current as of Monday afternoon, and subject to change.

Union vs. Inter Miami odds

Three-way money line (90-minute result)
  1. Union +175

  2. Miami +115

  3. Draw +270

Tie no bet
  1. Union +115

  2. Miami -145

With Messi on a roll — he has eight goals and one assist in his five Leagues Cup games — Miami is the team that oddsmakers expect to emerge Tuesday night and reach the competition’s final.

There’s also the likely Messi Tax. Soccer fans are more likely to bet on Messi’s team to do well, and that moves odds as much as the talent on the field.

» READ MORE: What did Jamaica’s run in the FIFA Women’s World Cup mean to Jamaicans in Philly? We asked a few.

Will Messi score?

He seems to be finding scoring easy against his new competition so far.

Here’s how FanDuel had Messi’s goal markets priced as of Monday afternoon:

  1. To score a goal: -160

  2. To score two or more goals: +300

  3. To score a hat trick: +1300

How many goals will be scored?

In five games since Messi joined the club, goal totals in Miami matches have been three, four, four, eight, and four — 4.6 goals per game.

The Union’s five Leagues Cup games have goal totals of four, six, zero, two, and three — 3.0 goals per game.

Will we see a goal-scoring outburst Tuesday night?

Here’s how FanDuel priced the total goals markets as of Monday afternoon:

  1. 1.5 goals: Over -605; Under +370

  2. 2.5 goals: Over -182; Under +130

  3. 3.5 goals: Over +128; Under -180

  4. 4.5 goals: Over +320; Under -550