Super Bowl 2023 prediction: Bet this Chiefs vs. Eagles same-game parlay

As sports betting has exploded across the United States in the last half-decade, so too has the popularity of a wager type that didn’t exist prior to the 2018 repeal of the Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act: the same-game parlay.

When Nevada had the market cornered on legalized sports betting, bettors could only parlay the side or moneyline with the total (Over/Under) of the same game. Constructing parlays that included point spreads, moneylines, totals, players and/or game situations from the same contest was verboten.

» READ MORE: Looking to bet on the Super Bowl? Try these Eagles sportsbook promo codes

Now? Same-game parlays — or SGPs — are as commonplace as old-fashioned NFL point-spread bets.

Want to parlay a first-half point spread with a wide receiver’s total receptions prop, a running back’s touchdown prop and a quarterback’s yardage prop — all from the same team? Have at it.

Rest assured, each sportsbook’s Super Bowl 57 wagering handle will include tens of millions of dollars in same-game parlay bets.

So why not join in the fun and see if we can score a big payday with a four-leg SGP for next Sunday’s Chiefs vs. Eagles battle in Glendale, Arizona?

Odds updated as of 3:30 p.m. ET on Feb. 3.

» READ MORE: Jason and Travis Kelce won’t face each other on the field, but they will in at least one Super Bowl prop

Philadelphia has been the NFL’s most prolific offensive team in the first half all season — and it’s not even close.

The Eagles averaged 18.2 first-half points in the regular season, nearly three more than the next-best team (which happened to be Kansas City at 15.5 points).

Absolutely nothing has changed in the playoffs, as Philly put up 28 first-half points in its Divisional Playoffs victory over the Giants and 21 in last week’s NFC Championship Game against San Francisco.

Number of times in 19 total games that the Eagles have scored more than 12 first-half points: 16.

Number of times they’ve put up at least 20 in the opening 30 minutes: 12.

The Chiefs’ defense ranked around the middle of the pack in first-half points allowed in the regular season (average of 10.8). And they’ve yielded just 16 first-half points in two playoff games.

Still, having beaten this number in 16 of 19 games, the odds are stacked heavily in Philly’s favor with this prop.

» READ MORE: Looking to bet on the Super Bowl? Try these Eagles sportsbook promo codes

Hurts has 15 rushing touchdowns this season, including one in each of the playoff blowouts of the Giants and Niners.

Going back to a 32-21 home loss to Washington in Week 10, the Eagles’ star quarterback has scored at least once in seven of his last nine contests (nine TDs in all).

The only exceptions: Week 12 against Green Bay, when he passed for two touchdowns, and Week 18 against the Giants, his first game back after missing two weeks with a shoulder sprain.

Kansas City has allowed only 10 rushing touchdowns this season. But the Chiefs’ defense has only faced two true mobile quarterbacks this season.

One was Arizona’s Kyler Murray, who isn’t nearly the passing threat that Hurts is. The other was Buffalo’s Josh Allen, who runs more out of necessity than by design. (Allen had eight rushing TDs this year.)

By the time Super Bowl 57 kicks off, Hurts will be exactly eight weeks removed from the shoulder sprain he suffered in Week 15. So we expect him to use his legs a lot in the Super Bowl — especially near the goal line.

» READ MORE: Super Bowl 57 props: Ten fun Chiefs vs. Eagles novelty prop bets

As great as Philadelphia’s defense has been all season, it has been vulnerable against the run. The Eagles yielded 121.6 rushing yards per contest in the regular season, which put them right in the middle of the pack.

True, Philadelphia held San Francisco to just 81 yards in last week’s NFC title game. But the Niners didn’t have a quarterback who could actually throw. So the Eagles knew what was coming..

In the six games prior, Philadelphia gave up 123, 157, 115, 129, 129 and 118 rushing yards.

So Pacheco should have room to run in Super Bowl 57. The only question is: Will Chiefs coach/play-caller Andy Reid feed him the rock?

Pacheco has had more than 16 carries just once in 11 games since becoming Kansas City’s No. 1 tailback in Week 10 against Jacksonville. And he’s toted the pigskin just 9, 8, 12 and 10 times in the past four games.

Still, outside of two games — 9 carries, 31 yards in Week 17 against Denver; 10 carries, 26 yards last week against Cincinnati — Pacheco has been productive since becoming the starter.

In fact, he’s rushed for 58-plus rushing yards in his other nine games since taking over as the lead dog.

» READ MORE: Will Eagles, Chiefs pile up points in Arizona? Here’s what the trends say.

We played the “due” theory with Brown and his receiving yards prop in the NFC Championship Game and, well, let’s just say it didn’t work out.

Hurts targeted Brown eight times, but he only caught four for 28 yards. This after snagging three balls for just 22 yards in the Divisional Playoffs.

Of course, Philadelphia took commanding early leads in both games, then took the air out of the football, which in turn deflated Brown’s production.

The Super Bowl should be a much different story — there’s little chance that the Eagles will run away from Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

Likewise, we see little chance that Brown will be shut down for a third straight game. This is still the same receiver who amassed 665 receiving yards in his final six regular-season games (110.8 per-game average).

His low point during that stretch was 70 yards; otherwise, he had at least 95 in every game.

Finally, the Chiefs’ secondary has gotten torched this season by several elite receivers (and Brown definitely qualifies as elite). This includes the Chargers’ Mike Williams (113 yards) and Keenan Allen (94), the Raiders’ Davante Adams (124 and 73), the Bills’ Stefon Diggs (148), and the Bengals’ Ja’Marr Chase (97 and 74).

Even average receivers like Jacksonville’s Christian Kirk (105) and the Chargers’ Josh Palmer (109) went for triple digits against Kansas City.

» READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer

The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only.